Book Review: The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb
1 Apr
THE BLACK SWAN theory is based on the previous English belief that all swans are white; this was accepted as unquestionable truth by the British from “thousands of years of observations”, until they landed upon the shores of Australia where, lo and behold, they found a black swan. In modern terms, the Black Swan is a term used to describe an event that is very unlikely to happen (in the magnitude of almost impossible in statistical terms), yet happens anyway and has a significant impact in human history and society, whether politically and/or culturally. The Black Swan, as Nassim Nicholas Taleb puts it, is “the impact of the highly improbable”.
THE BLACK SWAN book became a Black Swan experience as I read it; I didn’t expect to learn so much from a field of study that I rarely read about. Originally, I was considering buying one of Malcolm Gladwell’s book (particularly Outliers), but I felt I already knew what Gladwell talks about – so I decided to take a chance and see what would happen with the Black Swan. True to the Black Swan theory, this unexpected event became a positive experience for me, because I learned much about philosophy through the eyes of the empirical skeptic Nassim Taleb (or NNT as he abbreviates himself), and also learned a beautiful term for something that has been on my mind for some time: DOMAIN DEPENDENCE.
The meat of The Black Swan talks about “how not to be a turkey”, where NNT emphasizes the importance of the things we don’t know yet let this unknowledge take control of the most important decisions in our lives. But for me the greatest lesson was hidden in a two word term, mentioned only once throughout the whole book; a term that gave me a eureka moment where pieces of a jigsaw puzzle fell into place and the light to the answer became brighter. Domain dependence, is the lesson for this month.
I used to call it COMPLIANCE; and to better illustrate the point, let’s take an example of a story. There are many personal development and motivational seminars nowadays, ranging from FREE to full-fledged limited-gala-dinner VIP packages, and many people interested in participating in these events. A person may come to a seminar, obtain a new paradigm, experience good change within him – change that gives him more strength to strive for his dreams – and get a boost of positive energy for days maybe weeks to come. Yet, after some time, that energy dissipates and he returns to his previous condition, where he is without the focus and courage he felt during the seminar. He then goes to another seminar, repeats the process, experiences the same emotions, gains the same confidence, and returns to normal life with a new found energy again. But the cycle repeats, and after some time, he runs out of energy, again.
This person may attend enough personal seminars that he knows the material off by heart and may even be able to become a speaker himself. Yet he keeps needing to come back to the same seminars, the same experience, the same keywords, the same charts and explanations, the same homework to do when the seminar ends, and the same motivation to do what needs to be done. He can’t keep the energy he grew at the seminar, and keep it also at the place where he needs to make a change. This is called DOMAIN DEPENDENCE; the inability to transfer our powers in one domain of our lives (for example, confidence during motivational seminars), to another domain in our lives that need work (for example, a broken or stagnant family relationship).
I used to call it COMPLIANCE, because this is my belief: after attending a motivational seminar, our minds think we have done enough, our energy feels used and satisfied, so we are compliant when we return to our natural habitats. We are compliant, because we think we have already become part of the change and part of the solution. The truth is; developing our paradigm is only the first step – after, action needs to be done, and that can’t be done if we are still COMPLIANT or DOMAIN DEPENDENT.
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THE SIDE-STORY